Tom Bill: Middle East conflict clouds rate outlook and Budget plans
Energy price shocks are lifting swap rates, complicating the outlook for rate cuts and potentially squeezing the Chancellor’s headroom, explains Knight Frank's UK resi research boss.
Tom Bill is Head of UK Residential Research, producing reports that include Knight Frank’s flagship Prime Central London indices, the Super Prime London Insight and the London Residential Review. He has written detailed reports on London sub-markets and contributes to The Wealth Report and Global Cities report. Tom, a former Bloomberg and Reuters property journalist, is a regular media contributor on the London property market and has presented at events in Europe and the Middle East.
What to read next
Tom Bill: How the Middle East conflict could affect the UK housing market
Rising energy prices and shifting rate expectations could reshape mortgage costs and buyer sentiment, explains Knight Frank’s head of UK resi research.
By Tom Bill
Knight Frank research boss: UK housing outlook hinges on Middle East tensions
Markets are pricing in multiple rate hikes, but where borrowing costs go next relies heavily on a single unpredictable geopolitical risk, explains Tom Bill.
By Tom Bill
Knight Frank: Middle East conflict will impact UK housing market in four stages
The agency's resi research boss Tom Bill breaks down the likely path for policy, rates, sentiment and pricing - starting with what’s already playing out in the prime country market
By Tom Bill
Companies in this article
Knight FrankMost read
Knight Frank puts heavyweight duo at helm of London Private Office
Specialist division brings together the firm's 'most accomplished advisers' for UHNWIs.
Buyer swoops on ‘one of London’s most celebrated historic houses’
Architecture wins out over postcode as purchaser searching in Westminster exchanges on landmark mansion south of the river.
Guernsey’s biggest privately-owned estate seeks £65mn
The 80-acre Havilland Hall comes with a Regency mansion, a private 'village' and an array of leisure & business facilities.
By PrimeResi
£48mn price tag for Bryan O’Sullivan-designed penthouse at Chelsea Barracks
First Look: Inside one of the year’s biggest new-build launches.
Inside 1 Mayfair: Caudwell completes first residence at ultra-luxe scheme
Lavish show apartment dressed by New York designer Jamie Drake is pitched at £83.7mn.
By PrimeResi
High-profile agency reopens SW3 sales operation
Chestertons has a dedicated Chelsea sales team for the first time in nine years.
By PrimeResi
Guy Meacock: ‘These are the best conditions I have ever seen, from my side of the negotiating fence’
Seasoned agency boss on what's next for buyers in Prime Central London.
By Guy Meacock
Grosvenor Square penthouse finds buyer at nearly half its original asking price
Seven-day exchange follows more than three years of marketing for hefty Mayfair duplex.
UK Sotheby’s signs Surrey specialist from Savills
Experienced agent joins as firm gears up for ‘important next step’ in the county.
Koffman returns to Aston Chase
Veteran agent rejoins boutique firm as Head of Flat Sales and Associate Director after nine years away.
LATEST ARTICLES
Savills Private Office adds trio of HNW specialists in London & New York
Big-name appointments boost the firm's offering for the globe-trotting super-rich.
By PrimeResi
Top law firm boosts private wealth offering with two new partners
Payne Hicks Beach brings in a new resi property head and a citizenship & immigration specialist to advise HNW clients.
Savills downgrades prime forecasts; no recovery for PCL prices until 2029
Prime London and regional property prices are likely to decline further next year, says top agency.
By PrimeResi
Landmark Nine Elms scheme brings in fresh design talent
Two top interiors studios join the teamsheet at the 57-storey tower, just over two years after sales launched.
Abrahmsohn’s prime property predictions for 2027
Seasoned agency veteran runs through the themes he sees playing out next year, from the gulf between turnkey homes & renovation projects, to uber-tenants & the perils of overpricing.