Knight Frank: Middle East conflict will impact UK housing market in four stages

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The agency's resi research boss Tom Bill breaks down the likely path for policy, rates, sentiment and pricing - starting with what’s already playing out in the prime country market

Written by

Tom Bill

Head of UK Residential Research at Knight Frank

Tom Bill is Head of UK Residential Research, producing reports that include Knight Frank’s flagship Prime Central London indices, the Super Prime London Insight and the London Residential Review. He has written detailed reports on London sub-markets and contributes to The Wealth Report and Global Cities report. Tom, a former Bloomberg and Reuters property journalist, is a regular media contributor on the London property market and has presented at events in Europe and the Middle East.

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Rising energy prices and shifting rate expectations could reshape mortgage costs and buyer sentiment, explains Knight Frank’s head of UK resi research.
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Lower mortgage rates should underpin demand, but this week's by-election outcome may shape sentiment, explains the agency's head of UK resi research Tom Bill.
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As tariff turbulence appears to have peaked and the stamp duty disruption fades, the main risk over the next six months is the autumn Budget, explains the agency's UK resi research boss Tom Bill.